Tuesday, November 18, 2008

General Electric now in Collapse?

General Electric: Genuine Risk of Collapse?
November 17, 2008 | about stocks: GE

General Electric (GE), the legendary American institution, founded in 1878 by Thomas Edison, is in deep trouble. Its PR machine has been in constant spin mode as the company sinks deeper into despair. It is one of the few companies in the U.S. that still retains a AAA rating. Considering Moody’s and S&P’s track record, rating companies and financial instruments, that AAA rating is not worth the paper it is written on. One look at GE’s balance sheet will convince you they do not deserve a AAA rating. AAA companies do not need to take the desperate actions that GE has taken in the last few months.
The virtual crash in its stock price indicates that there is something seriously wrong with GE. The stock reached $53 at its peak in 2000. It closed below $17 this past week, the lowest level since the mid-1990s. CEO Jeffrey Immelt, who took over from icon Jack Welch in 2001, has made his mark by managing the company to a 68% decline in its stock price. You will not see anyone on CNBC take a hard look at GE’s financial statements or ask the CEO tough questions, because Mr. Immelt signs their paychecks. While shareholders have taken a bath, Mr. Immelt, a Harvard MBA, raked in $72.2 million of compensation between 2002 and 2007. A company that is known for its pay for performance mantra evidently does not hold its CEO to the same standards.
The issuing of $12 billion in common stock at $22.25 per share is an act of extreme desperation and brings into question whether GE has a lucid strategy. How can investors have confidence in a company that bought back 97 million shares for $3.1 billion at an average price of $31.69 in the first nine months of 2008, and then issued $12 billion worth of stock at $22.25 in October? Not only did they buyback $3.1 billion of stock in 2008, but they also bought back $27 billion of stock in the prior three years at an average price of $36.46. This is a twist on the old saying, buy high and sell low. If Mr. Immelt was not so focused on trying to beat short term earnings goals by wasting $30 billion of cash on share buybacks, he wouldn’t have had to beg Warren Buffett for $3 billion last month at very poor terms from GE’s perspective. A CEO is responsible for preparing their company for a worst case scenario and should never risk the company in an attempt to meet short term goals. Mr. Buffett may have made one of the few mistakes of his glorious investing career. He has lost $762 million on his investment in 1 ½ months, a return of -25%.

Comment: We now have 3 of the largest auto companies collapsing, banks collapsing, companies bankrupt, retail shopping way down, mass unemployment.. now GE?
When will the Government admit we are in a DEPRESSION?

3 comments:

  1. Hey, the BC economy is booming!! Just ask Gordo and the boys. 10 or so years of primarily conservative type governments accross North American and much of Europe has destroyed the world economy.

    ReplyDelete
  2. What does the BC economy have to do with GE? Anyway, cheap money and speculators (using cheap money) killed the economy. Don't flatter Gondon Campbell by suggesting he has that much control.

    By the way, you are fortunate. BC has barely been touched by the recession and the olympics will help shelter the economy.

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  3. Rick don't be naive, BC is going down the drain like the rest of the world, do your homework!

    ReplyDelete

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