Tuesday, February 10, 2009

This DEPRESSION will last 23-26 YEARS! Government is POWERLESS!

Note: Martin Armstrong was the highest paid economist in the 80's and 90's. He is considered to be brilliant in economics by many. He has predicted all the crashes since the 80's.

We are facing a Depression that will last 23-26 years. The response of government is going
to seal our fate because they cannot learn from the past and will make the same mistakes that every politician has made before them. Even if the Dow Industrials make new highs next week (impossible), the Depression is unstoppable with
current models and tools. Stocks & Consumers vs. Investment Banks Let us set the record straight. The Stock Market is
a mere reflection of the economy like looking at yourself in a mirror. It is not the economy and does not even provide a reliable forecasting tool of what is to come economically. We are headed into the debt tsunami that is of historical proportions unheard-of in history. There have been the big debt crisis incidents that have hobbled nations, toppled kings, and set in motion
economic dark ages. It is so critical to understand the difference between the economy and the stock market, for unless you comprehend this basic and root distinction between the two, survival may be impossible.

To the left I have provided the Economic Confidence Model for the immediate decline. You will notice I did not call this the "stock market model" nor a model for gold, oil, or commodities. I used the word "economic" with distinct and clear purpose. I have stressed it does not forecast the fate, of a particular market or even a particular economy. It is the global economic cycle some may call even a business cycle. Please note that what does line-up and peaks precisely with this model often even to the specific day that was calculated decades advance is the area of primary focus. Yet the US stock market reached a high precisely with this model and then rallied to a new high price 8.6 months later. In Japan, the NIKKEI 225 peaked precisely on February 26th, 2007. This is not a very good omen. But there was something profound that turned down with the February 27th, 2007 target - the S&P Case-Shiller index of housing prices in 20 cities. February 2007 was the peak for this cycle in the debt markets - not the US stock market. The stock market always bottoms in advance of the economic low. In fact, we will see new highs in the now even in the middle of a Great Depression. At least the 1929 cycle was more of a bubble top in stocks than what we have in place currently in the US stock market. We still had the bubble top in the NASDAQ back in 2000, but this illustrates the point. There was a major explosive speculative boom.
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  1. Am I right in assuming this is the Martin Armstrong that's currently in jail for fraud...

  2. The history of one stimulus package and bailout after another in Japan for 20 years. The result if the USA continues on the same stupid path:

    1990 Japan stock market 39,000
    2009 Japan stock market 7,400

    2007 Dow Jones Index 14,100
    2027 Dow Jones Index 2,700 est.

  3. Other factors are merging with market factors to create this depression. Even I,who is just a no body with lots of horse sence can see this. These factors include: Rising property taxes and home insurence rates. Rising subtle taxes such as prices in food,coming forced puchase of health insurence,cigarette tax increase, gas tax increace, coming national sales tax, etc. The governments refusal to adress the economic situatin from its true source. What I mean hear is the outsourcing of our producion base. Hear we have a downward spiraL from a loss of jobs,wages,benefits& reduction of wwages etc, that is working simutaneously with other market factors leadin to loss of taxes and jobs,services generated by these taxes. This is all compounded with massive debt incured by the governments intent to stimulate economiy(create a false economy) rather that create and preserve production jobs hear.
    All of these factors are combining to create this depression. Instead of addressing these issues our goverment had rather give the queers some speacial right or give money to some other socialy misfit groups, individuals, or nations. The people of the US are doomed!!!

  4. Fellow citizens of America, in light of those so very true words spoken above, I see a further host of facts put forth by those facts stated above. I foresee the future of America following the forthcoming collapse being that of fragmentation and war! Yes, I said war and I mean right here on our soil. I first see fragmentation along the lines of big business and their supporters, and then along the lines of labor and it's supporters. I foresee the people forming paramilitary groups along these lines and engadging in savage battle. In the northern half of the mid west, the lines will be very clear, with most avaerage people supporting labor. This is where the next civil war will begin. Then it will move south like a fire in a dry canebrake. Here the lines will be very unclear, with the average working people fragmenting into groups that wage war against each other, even though most if not all will be from the same working class. Very soon thereafter, the battle will transform into a racial conflict with certain racial groups perceicved and attacked under the assumption that they naturally support the big money corporations, and others based on the assumption that they support labor. This new civil war will truly be hell in that part of the USA. I see entire states fragmenting over this very issue, but things will not get at their worst until the Fedral government moves in with the military to try and retain order. Here I see the possibility of thousands being literally shot down in the streets by the US(foreighn)military just as it happened in Russia a hundred years ago. Study that history because it just may be our future here in the US.

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