Sunday, December 5, 2010

20 Years Of Turmoil, Chaos And War

We are approximately five years into The Fourth Turning Crisis. Every previous Fourth Turning had an economic dimension that eventually led to a do or die all out war. The mainstream linear thinkers see a recovery and a return to their concept of normality. They will be shocked and flabbergasted when they realize that this is only the beginning of a 20 year period of turmoil, chaos and war. It seems that some study of history would benefit the mainstream talking media heads pretending to know what is happening and political hacks in Washington D.C. who pretend to administer the affairs of state. The cycles of history are not identical, but the alignment of generations is always the same. The cycles are consistent because a long human life is always between 80 and 100 years. The previous Fourth Turnings in U.S. history were the American Revolution, the Civil War and the Great Depression/World War II. The descriptions are as follows:

he turnings of history are like the seasons. It is impossible to go directly from Fall to Spring. You must withstand the bitter harshness of Winter in order to get to the revitalizing warmth of Spring. The intensity and depth of Winters will vary. Those who prepare for a potentially harsh Winter in advance will be more likely to survive.  The morphology of Fourth Turnings as described by Strauss & Howe is:
  • A Crisis era begins with a catalyst – a startling event (or sequence of events) that produces a sudden shift in mood.
  • Once catalyzed, a society achieves regeneracy – a new counterentropy that reunifies and reenergizes civic life.
  • The regenerated society propels toward a climax – a crucial moment that confirms the death of the old order and birth of the new.
  • The climax culminates in a resolution – a triumphant or tragic conclusion that separates the winners from losers, resolves the big public questions, and establishes the new order.
An honest assessment of where we sit in this cycle shows that we are still in stage one. The housing collapse brought about the near destruction of the worldwide financial system. The sudden shift in mood has been borne out by the angry rise of the Tea Party and the startling result from the recent election. Society is on the verge of stage two. There has yet to be the reunification and reenergizing of society. It still feels like things are falling apart. The sun is slowly setting on this stage and a dark brutal Winter night beckons. 
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  1. Great read actually...Scary if half right.

    Any of many lil scenarios could happen and all we know ends in a ball of firey anarchy.

    For my tastes...It won't be war, terrorist attcks (real or faked), lack of food, super germ etc.

    Like anything else what will cause the crash will be something boring...I say lack of fuel will be the catalyst which causes the currency crash which causes the anarchy.

    That simple...Sure sure we have reserves in SD, off the coast or can steal Cuba's, Canada's etc but it won't be in time.

    Fuel is the first domino that has to fall in order to have it all collapse.

    Look at most Empires that collapse it's always something mundane that kills them.

  2. Why do you say "first and only"? I've been running posts since 2006 on precisely this thing. Welcome to the growing movement to bring these things to the attention of the world.


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